Intelligent Assistants and the Internet of Things as the Next Marketing Landscape
Publication by IGI Global
in the
Encyclopedia of Organizational Knowledge, Administration, and Technologies
forthcoming Summer -2020
Edward Forrest
Christina McDowell Marinchak
University of Alaska Anchorage, USA
Bogdan Hoanca
University of Alaska Anchorage, USA
INTRODUCTION
As observed for the
past several decades, society has experienced a series of recurrent and distinct
paradigm shifts in the capabilities and applications of Internet technologies.
Beginning with the concept of Web2.0, conceived by Darcy DiNucci in 1999 (Aced,
2013), it has become a common and conventional conception that beginning with
the World Wide Web’s commercial availability in the 1990’s, a new iteration in
its character and contours emerges approximately every ten years. Accordingly,
these defining intervals of the Web’s evolution have been summarized as:
Web 1.0
(1990-2000)
– Read Only … mainly used by
companies and personal websites to show their information.
Web 2.0
(2000-2010)
– Read and Write Web … also
known as the “The Social web” … users were not only able to read the
websites but they could also interact and connect with other users.
Blogs, Facebook, YouTube all began in Web 2.
Web 3.0
(2010-2020)
– The Semantic Web defines
organized or structured data to simplify automation, integration and
discovery across multiple applications … focuses on the intelligent
connection between people and machines … and … with devices using Internet.
Web 4.0 (2020
and 2030) – The Intelligent Web
… computers will turn into personal assistants using virtual realities, all
house appliances will be connected to the internet … highly intelligent
interactions will take place between machines and humans.
Web 5.0 (2030…)
– “The Telepathic Web”...
highly advanced, complex … brain implants …
will give people the power and ability to communicate with the
Internet through thoughts. All kinds of payments will be made by using a
microchip in the brain or on the hand and all of the devices will be
connected to the internet and will be controlled by the humans either
through mobile apps or through their thoughts. (Smith, 2018)
With new iterations
of the Web, society also experienced a change in the essential computing
platform configuration and user interface used to connect and interact with our
ever-expanding digitized world. To this point, over the course of the past three
decades portals to the digital world have expanded from desk and laptop pc’s, to
mobile phones and tablets. Input modalities have gone from moving a mouse,
typing keywords, clicking buttons and hyperlinks to tapping apps, pinching pages
and swiping screens. Society has lived through the “Google-dominated web-based
information retrieval of the 00s, yielded to the Apple-Android mobile duopoly
and the warehouse of apps paradigm of the 10's,” have entered an era of
“intelligent cloud computing” that is increasingly guided by AI infused apps and
services and are now moving to the next iteration, Web 4.0, which will be
defined by “ambient computing via the Internet of Things” (Ward, 2016). Together
with ongoing exponential take-off of the Internet of Things (IoT), the emergence
of voice-based virtual assistants as a primary user interface provides the
necessary and sufficient condition for the next paradigm shift. Advancing the
proposition that platform and user interface (UI) shifts go hand and hand,
Kinsella (2019) observes "voice
assistants represent the third key UI and technology platform shift of the past
three decades, following the web in the 1990’s and smartphones about 10 years
ago. Each of these UI changes was accompanied by a new technology platform. The
World Wide Web was built on the back of the Internet, and PC proliferation
enabled web pages to be easily accessed. Smartphone mobile operating systems
such as iOS and Android were important developments, but the app economy also
relied on the introduction of cloud computing for efficiently delivering content
along with regular feature updates and performance enhancements. Voice computing
relies on artificial intelligence for speech recognition and natural language
understanding. It is also being used to dynamically improve user experience."
Transformation to
this new paradigm will be both simple and swift. Indeed, if for no other reason
that humans generally speak three times faster than typing (Leonard, 2019), it
is a safe bet that “natural language will be the primary interface in the era of
ubiquitous and mobile computing … In the past, we had to learn the computer’s
interface; now we get to interact with the computer using the human
interface—natural language” (Lam, 2019). Whereas, consumers needed to learn new
coding languages and techniques for interacting with previous technology
platforms, “the shift to voice doesn’t require any training … users simply
“speak” as they do naturally (Kinsella, 2019).
This entry explores
the ramifications of this latest technology platform shift. Just as the Web
precipitated the emergence of e-commerce and the smartphone enabled the
explosion of social media, the advent of a voice-based interface that allows
people access to, communication with, and control of most anything in our
world—via the IoT. To date, the authors of this entry have published a series
IGI articles which have explored the nature, magnitude and rate of impact that
artificial intelligence was having on business processes and marketing
practices, including Artificial
Intelligence: Marketing’s Game Changer (2015),
The Impact of Artificial Intelligence and Virtual Personal Assistants on
Marketing
(2017) and
Artificial Intelligence: Redefining
Marketing Management and the Customer Experience (2018). Accordingly, the
objectives of this entry are threefold: review the
findings of these initial, and other related articles, in the context of their
relevance to the changing business/ marketing landscape defined by voice based
interface (VBI) to a world connected to an Internet of Intelligent Things
(IoIT); understand the technical specifications and broad-based applications of
VBI will be delineated along with the ramifications occasioned by the global
diffusion of the IoIT; and, explore the ramifications of this new landscape will
be examined through analyses of the most prominent examples of digital
assistants that are in use or development.
Background
Today, people have access to digital assistants that can instantly access and
analyze any type of data (structured or unstructured) across multiple databases
and answer (in the language of your choosing) any question you propose. There
are an ever-expanding variety of digital assistants readily available with a
simple salutation, to serve as a personal concierge. In addition to organizing a
person’s everyday activities and controlling every system in their life (home
entertainment, security, utility, appliances), these personal digital assistants
can also serve as virtual companions and friends that know every mood, taste,
and desire. Programmed to know a person’s exact mix of personality traits and
accurately predict every move and preference, today’s digital assistants are
quite capable of being very personal
indeed.
Society is on the cusp of a time wherein all will be able to take on the powers
of a Dr. Dolittle, but instead of talking to all the animals, people will talk
with all the “things” on the Internet. People live in a world where the
possibility exists to construct a digital twin that monitors every action,
learns patterns of speech and behavior, and anticipates every need; instead of a
physical “mini-me,” there is now a virtual “digi-me.” Moreover, it is predicted
that in the not too distant future, the powers of a person’s “digi-me” will
prove superior to peoples mere mortal selves as it takes on the ability to
remember and access everything experienced throughout an entire life. As
envisioned by Roemmele, by using technology that already exists today, his
“Intelligence Amplifier” will “capture and store, from the moment you’re born to
the moment you die … everything you’ve ever seen, everything you’ve ever read,
every comment you’ve made, every comment you’ve heard” (Fisher, 2019). Today,
there exist only 61 known cases of hyperthymesia,
a condition that “causes people to remember just about everything that has
occurred in their life … every conversation and emotion ever experienced … every
person encountered, regardless of how insignificant or minute” (Malcolm, 2019).
With digital assistants empowered with Roemmele’s “Intelligence Amplifier,” the
number of people on earth with “digitally-induced hyperthymesia” could easily
rise from 61 to 6.1 billion.
The Changing
Business and Marketing Landscape: Research and Observations to Date
A Redefinition of
Marketing Management: From Managing People to Managing Algorithms.
Throughout the last decade there has been an exponential increase in the number,
variety, and capability of marketing applications, platforms and services that
perform, control, influence and/or integrate virtually every marketing task and
decision. In 2011, when the monitoring of the Marketing Technology (MarTech)
Landscape began, only 150 applications were available to marketers. By 2018,
over 6,800 automated and cognitive process applications were available. As of
2019, it appears that the world has reached peak “MarTech,” as the number of
solutions only increased by about 200 to reach 7,040 (Aussant, 2019). It is now
the case that for any and every marketing function and task that needs to be
completed, there is “an app for that:” Currently, there exist at least 370 apps
for e-mail management, as there are hundreds to select from for any and every
marketing task—search engine optimization, website design and analytics, social
media monitoring, customer transactions, profiling and relationship management.
As more and more
companies begin to employ more and more technologies to perform more tasks
across more functions of the organization, roles and workflows are being
reexamined and subsequently reimagined and restructured. This is becoming the
case, one only need examine the evolution of the technology stacks submitted the
past five years by scores of companies to the Stackie Awards (Brinker, 2019).
Herein, companies annually compete on the basis of what company can best
illustrate the number and variety of marketing technology tools that they use to
conceptualize, conduct, and advance their marketing activities.
No longer is an organization’s competitiveness defined by an
organizational chart that only lists the names, titles, and hierarchical
positions of the people that run/manage the business. Increasingly, an
organization’s competitiveness is being defined by and dependent on the
collaborative intelligence derived from the software tools, services, and
interconnections that a company uses to effectively execute every business
activity across every function. As most every task becomes inextricably linked
to AI, robotics and related software systems, it is imperative that one take on
an expanded mindset as to what management fully involves, and on this point it
is increasingly clear that management necessarily involves the management of
apps and algorithms as well as people.
A Redefinition of the Customer Experience.
Having a technologically adept organization running a well-integrated MarTech
Stack that integrates software across every function and at every step of the
customer journey all contribute to the improved, if not optimal, customer
services and experiences.
A highly integrated
technology stack enables marketers to instantly and individually adjust every
element of the marketing mix: the exact nature, attributes and price of the
product, the style and delivery of promotional messaging and customer
relationship management services and interactions. Marketers no longer need to
draw inferences of who customers are or what customers want from periodic
surveys, sample estimates, or consumer segments. The days of segmenting entire
populations and assigning purchase probabilities and media exposure rates for
such unrefined targets, as “women 18-49 years old,” are long gone. With the
advent of cognitive computing marketers have the ability to analyze continuous
streams of structured and unstructured data, and ascertain the individual
consumers’ traits, tastes, sentiments, and personality and predict personal
purchase behaviors, preferences and sales probabilities. Indeed, in the course
of the past five years, AI enhanced research and analytic applications have
enabled marketer’s to find, read, and analyze a consumer’s every search, post,
tweet, pin, video message, product evaluation, credit card purchase, media
consumption preference and/or any and every other bit of information that can be
gleaned in the infosphere about the consumer. It is now common practice that
AI-apps are used in the areas of customer service, sales assistance, and
relationship management, and used to create custom commercial messages for
individual consumers based on their user profile and media behavior and campaign
materials are modified in real-time, to maximize consumer interest and message
retention (Marinchak,
Forrest, Hoanca, 2018).
As a consequence of the individual profiling and heightened customer service
that AI-based technology affords, it is increasingly the case that the new
requisites for marketers include: the
ability to offer “faster than real-time” customer service and solve customer
before they arise; “hyper-personalize” marketing efforts which focus on the
individual, not the average customer; “unparalleled ease of use,” which is
paramount, given that “convenience is the new measure of loyalty to a brand and
loyalty can be measured by the most user-friendly interface” (Van
Belleghem, 2017).
In the adherence to
and adoption of these points, Amazon not only serves as best example, but serves
as the very definition, of the new marketing imperative:
Amazon-ization …
refers to the wholesale disruption occurring across retail and e-Commerce …
Adopting a more agile, responsive and data-focused approach... Artificial
Intelligence (AI) allows retailers to understand and analyze this data, mining
actionable insights to better understand consumer demand and preferences to
create better customer experiences. (Weiss, 2019)
And when it comes to enhancing the customer experience, intelligent virtual
voice assistance is the latest, and perhaps greatest, game changing technology.
From the consumers’ perspective, the emergence of a virtual personal assistant
that can learn, predict and serve their tastes, needs and desires and optimize
their product/service purchases is a welcome development. Once more, the fact
that it can be effortlessly accessed, just by speaking, is an added bonus.
Talking beats typing and swiping most any day. Thus, it is
no surprise that the most widely
adopted virtual-voice “shopping” assistant, Alexa, is an Amazon invention.
Over the course of the past decade the principle purveyors of voice-based
digital assistance have all introduced and perfected their services: Apple’s
Siri (October 2011),
Google Now (May 2012,
Microsoft Cortana (April 2014),
Amazon Alexa (November 2014), and
Google Assistant (November 2016).
Albeit, it can be argued that society has entered an entirely new and distinct
marketing landscape as the tipping point has been reached in terms of capability
and availability.
The Tipping Point in Voice Capabilities
To date, voice-based digital assistants have remained as astonishing as they
have been frustrating. Misunderstanding what users are saying, spotty
performance in delivering the responses and information expected, has limited
consumer satisfaction, adoption and use. However, with the debut of Google’s
Duplex in 2018 and Microsoft’s “multi-turn-multi-domain-multi-task-dialogue” in
2019, it can now be declared that interaction with intelligent assistants has
reached parity with human conversation. Duplex solved the problem of semblance
with its capability of mimicking the exact nature and pattern of human speech
right down to the
ums and ahs. In fact, with the ability to so perfectly mimic human
conversational style and substance, Duplex has begun to raise privacy issues
concerning violation of two-party consent laws, which requires all parties
involved in a conversation to agree to being recorded
(Coldewey,
2018).
Moreover, the complex problem of understanding the free-flowing and nuanced
context of human queries and conversation has been solved. Where previously, the
question: “what are my options for booking a flight to Chicago next Friday?”
would not have been able to be accurately processed, now, not can the digital
assistant decipher the phrase, but also it can “take the action of looking up
flights on your preferred airlines, reading them aloud, and even booking a
reservation in your name once you’ve selected one” (O'Donnell, 2019). No longer
limited to one and done conversations, wherein one specific question is asked
and one answer given. Conversational AI enables a dialog that is guided by the
context of the preceding action first interaction and the intent of the
question.
User:
Hey Cortana, what's the weather today?
Cortana: The forecast shows light rain with a high of 47 and a low of 42.
User:
Should I bring a jacket?
Cortana: Yes, you'll probably want a jacket today.
Herein, the virtual
assistant has “learned what the words you say mean, what your own preferences
are, and then what discrete actions need to be taken toward an expected outcome”
(O'Donnell, 2019). Before these technical breakthroughs, consumer adoption of
voice assistants was already rapidly expanding. No matter how
measured—ownership, expenditures, use or applications—the growth of voice based
assistants has been exponential. The number of unique users for virtual digital
assistants will grow from 390 million worldwide users in 2015 to 1.8 billion by
the end of 2021and revenue is forecasted to grow from $1.6 billion in 2015 to
$15.8 billion in 2021 (Smartsheet, 2019), and the number of digital voice
assistants is projected to register a growth rate of 220%, as the number of
voice assisted devices increases from 2.5 billion in 2018 to 8 billion in 2023
(Juniper Research, 2018). While Smartphone assistants remain the largest
platform by volume and use, Juniper’s research found that the fastest growing
voice assistant categories over the next five years will be Smart TVs (121.3%
CAGR), Smart speakers (41.3% CAGR) and Wearables (40.2% CAGR). These projections
are indicative of a most important phenomenon unfolding at this very point in
time. That is, society is now experiencing the transition to a world with the
capability of virtual-voice interaction with a virtual voice assistant embedded
in virtually anything, available virtually anytime anywhere.
Tipping Point: Ubiquitous Intelligent Voice Assistance
The underlying
operating principle driving our current paradigm shift can be stated as:
“Anything and everything that can be digitized, automated, connected and
cognified with AI and accessed via a voice interface will be. To the point,
every person, place, platform, product and thing on earth (and beyond, if one
includes satellites, lunar and Mars missions, etc.) is now an existing or
eventual node on the Internet of Intelligent Things (IoIT). In much the same
manner as we turned electricity into a commodity to power the industrial
revolution, we are now commoditizing intelligence to drive the cognitive
revolution. As Kelly (2018) observed:
Anybody can buy
power. You just plug in, and you do what you want with it … 150 years ago a
farmer looked at his hand-pump and said, ‘I can add electricity to this, and
make a powered pump.’ Do that many, many times and you get the industrial
revolution. Now we’re at the second phase—we’re adding minds to things. We’ll
take the electric pump and add AI. Now we have a smart pump. We’re sending out
minds as a service, as a cheap commodity on the grid, as an AI utility that
anybody can purchase … My formula for the next 10,000 startups is take X, add
AI. Find something—the more unusual, the more unexpected, the more
counterintuitive, and the better. The AI is cheap. It’s the interface you’re
adding to AI that makes it valuable.
And herein, it is
argued that voice control is emerging as the most valuable interface to
AI-enhanced entities of all.
Since 2017, the IoT has had all the necessary technological ingredients for its
exponential expansion—energy efficient sensors and wireless RFID tags (cheap
enough to be all but disposable), universal expansion of broadband and cellular
networking and the adoption
of IPv6 (which
enables the provision of an IP address for every device the world). By the end
of 2017, there were already more things connected on the Internet (8.4 billion)
than there were people on earth (7.6 billion). By the end of 2020 estimates
range from 20 to 30 billion devices, and by 2025 we may be experiencing an IoT
growth rate of 152,000 devices being added per minute, resulting in an IoT
population of 80 billion
(Kanellos, 2016).
Over the course of the next decade, the availability of voice interaction with
an intelligent agent will move well beyond every smartphone and become available
in every house, room, office, automobile and appliance, as well as be embedded
in the clothing we wear and products we buy. Moreover, not only what we buy, but
how we buy is in the process of being determined by the availability of and
interaction with voice assistants. Given its ability to provide consumers with “ultra-personalized,
two-way engagement” with a brand and generate
“greater
engagement, insight, sales and satisfaction… it is predicted that by 2023, voice
assistants alone will drive over $112 billion in annual retail sales”
(Ravensbergen, 2019).
FOCUS OF THE ARTICLE
Society is in the beginning stages of this next paradigm shift. Over this next
decade this
on-going exponential growth and innovation in capabilities will result in
billions of people spending hundreds of billions of dollars to purchase the
ability to converse with tens of billions of devices that will assist them in
whatever they are doing, no matter where they are. Already, it has become clear,
how and how fast companies are reacting to this reshaping of the technological
landscape. For those companies with the largest and most
entrenched interests, such as Google and Amazon, the strategy appears simply to
be—do whatever it takes to defend and expand your market position. Doing
whatever it takes,
includes employing
10,000 employees to
work on a single voice assistant platform such as Alexa, and involves betting
billions of dollars in voice assistant and smart speaker technology that you
dump on the market at a quarterly loss. Case in point, “Google Home Mini is sold
at a loss every
time it is discounted, which is frequently’ (Kinsella, 2019). In defense and
expansion of their dominant market positions
for Google in search advertising, for Amazon in online commerce, the principle
competitive growth strategies are market penetration and innovation. Google
expanded its
voice assistant’s availability from 400 million, in 2018, to over a billion
devices in 2019 by leveraging
its distribution
through Android phones and Google Home, Auto and TV devices.
In contrast, to developing a voice assistant that is available on most anything,
Amazon seems to have concentrated its efforts on developing a voice assistant
that can do most anything. While presently
confined to 100 million
Echo speakers Amazon’s
Alexa can perform no less than 59,000 skills,
and is advancing at a rate of approximately
85 skills per day. Alexa serves as your personal concierge connecting one to
everything from your car insurance and media subscriptions to your preferred
sources of entertainment, education or prayer and meditation
(Tell, 2017).
Along with Google and Amazon, every major tech company is launching initiatives
to establish and expand their presence and share of the voice assistant market.
Amazon Alexa, Apple Siri and Google Assistant are all expanding their focus from
the consumer to business users with prototypes of voice based intelligent
assistants with the ability to provide on demand analytics,
proactive reporting, and automated task
execution, “all without the need for pesky logins or dashboards” (Doddala,
2018). Even
Facebook,
the only major tech company that currently does not have its own voice
assistant, announced at its
May, 2019
shareholder meeting
that it is going
to begin
working on products that use a new AI assistant that responds to voice (Rodriguez,
2019).
Thus, it remains the case that success in the world of virtual assistance will
necessarily be measured in the assistant’s ability to understand not just the
language but also the meaning and context of what the user is saying. Coupled
with the advancements in machine learning and sensor technologies, today’s
virtual assistant can also recognize and classify most any entity, and sense and
predict most any phenomenon.
Ergo, the next
generation of virtual assistants has arrived and appears ready to fulfill the
promise of the all-knowing and all-powerful entity that is always ready to
provide an answer to the question, complete a given task or perform the function
of an entire business domain.
Virtual Assistants – Specialized by Business Sector and Function
Case in point, Amelia,
touted to be the
“world’s most sophisticated virtual assistant” and demonstrably the world’s
first “digital worker” that can be hired in much the same way as a human
employee. Presently, Amelia can be hired to perform any of 672 tasks relevant in
in industries ranging from banking, insurance and retail, to healthcare,
telecoms and media. Amelia can be
delivered through multiple channels on a platform that is available 24/7, is
highly scalable in its capacity to handle high volumes of transactions and
information queries and
has the ability to
hold natural language conversations in more than 100 languages across chat,
voice or social media platforms. If you would like to interview and/or hire
Amelia, rather than “going to Indeed.com, LinkedIn, or Monster,” Ipsoft (2019)
suggests you go to its “1Store.” Wherein, “businesses can go through the same
hiring process they would with a human, including looking at previous references
from other firms that have analyzed how well bots have worked, as well as
“interviewing” them to see how they would perform certain tasks”
(Robinson, 2019).
Research finds that whereas businesses achieve only 6% return on AI investment,
Amelia’s clients can exceed (Robinson, 2019).
Similar results can be documented with other digital assistant services such as
Bank of America’s ERICA.
In just one year since its launch in 2018, Bank of America’s conversational
intelligent assistant ERICA, drawing on its a knowledge base of 400,000
financial questions, has a completed over 50 million client requests, and is
engaging with 500,000 new users per month
(Top, 2019). In the Marketing arena there is LUCY. Trained in natural language
processing and machine learning algorithms, LUCY “ reads and learns every
document and data asset that you feed her—she never leaves, never forgets and
becomes smarter every day” (Roetzer, 2019). Able to answer most any question and
execute any traditional marketing task (be it in research, creative or media),
LUCY has proved a most valuable assistant. For example, “if
one were
searching for comparative, detailed sales data for one of your company's brands,
but you don’t know the exact internal classification systems that division uses
for its sales—you could simply ask Lucy: What are the division’s sales by
product category? And, Lucy would provide you with a customized report with the
sales data organized by product category from a done by a market analyst who
left the company two months ago. She also returns a second result pulled from a
slightly older PDF... and a third result from a word document ... used in an
internal meeting” (Equals 3, 2019).
Virtual Assistants: Specialized for Consumer Segments
Together with the
growing array of digital assistants designed to assist with the execution of
business functions and tasks, there is a growing range of agents being designed
and developed for specific consumer segments and services.
In 2019, Intuition Robotics launched ElliQ, specifically targeted to “older
adults,” and designed to be "the sidekick for happier aging." Physically it
consists of a combination of a touch screen and table light, with a moving
cylindrical robot head that can make animatronic movements. Practically, it is a
voice-enabled home assistant that can make life easier for seniors by fielding
vocal requests, making video calls, setting reminders for medication and
arranging doctor appointments and providing companionship with its ability to
play bridge (Gebe, 2019). On the other end of the age spectrum,
Amazon has introduced a version of Alexa exclusively designed with functions and
features for kids
(Pringle, 2018).
There exist a
growing range of digital assistants which are being employed for social and
psychological support. There is Woebot, which “bills itself as your charming
robot friend who is ready to listen, 24/7,” and uses artificial intelligence to
detect emotions and is trained in the principles of cognitive-behavioral therapy
(Pardes, 2017). There is Replika, originally developed in 2015 by a programmer
to restore the presence of a friend who died in an accident. By imputing the
entirety of all their email and text communications she had with the deceased
she was able (through machine learning generated algorithms) impersonate the
deceased individual’s likely responses and patterns of speech. Today, over 2
million people are using the Replika app to teach their “Replikan” how to speak
and react to them.
Today’s Virtual Personal Assistants (VPAs): What does the “P” really stand for?
The
consumer’s existing preferences, spoken commands, and probable actions are all
calculated and controlled by the technologies provided by just a handful of
companies. In exchange for freely providing a steady stream of data on
everything the consumer says and does and everywhere they go, consumers receive
free access to and use of the companies virtual personal assistant, with the
added benefit of knowing that the more information shared with the company, the
better their virtual personal assistant will be able to optimize their lives.
However, the perception that the free use of a Siri, Alexa, or Google Assistant
is no more of a gift than was the Trojan-horse, is becoming more pronounced.
More and more questions concerning personal privacy and consumers’ data rights
are being raised. Of particular concern “is that virtual assistants, as they are
designed today, could have a far greater impact on consumer information than
today’s websites and apps. Putting that information in the hands of one big
company or a tiny clique … could erase what is left of online privacy” (Markoff,
2019). Indeed, under the current business model, terms and arrangements, it
would be much more accurate to regard the P in VPA (the acronym for virtual
personal assistant) to stand for Platform rather than Personal. Moreover, for
both economic and technical reasons, the market predominance of platform-owned
and operated virtual assistants will remain a given. As reported Amazon alone,
has spent 100’s of millions of dollars and employed as many as 10,000 people to
work on Alexa and Echo. In addition, as is the case for every major technology
platform, developer programs add thousands of other individuals and companies to
the workforce contributing to their products’ development. However, it is also
the case that unique to voice platform development is the fact that voice-based
intelligent assistants are not a technology that a business can wholly
“outsource to companies like Amazon and Google…a business needs to keep its own
data and its own customer relationships, and it cannot rely on companies that
are or could become its competitors” (Lam, 2019). The need to control the
relevancy, accuracy, and timeliness of information exchanged with customers
along with consumers increasing concern for privacy is driving the market for
virtual assistants that are truly personal. Recent surveys (Viveiros,
2018) report, “significant majority of U.S. consumers (73
percent) said their concerns over personal data privacy were increasing.”
SOLUTIONS AND
RECOMMENDATIONS
Addressing this growing concern over personal data privacy as well as the
providing an
alternative to monopolistic virtual assistant platforms of the major tech
companies is Almond, an “open-source virtual assistant system released in 2018.
Almond allows users to build natural language applications which affords users
“control over who, what, when, where, and how their data are to be shared” (Lam,
2019). Developers of Almond applications are able to connect their devices to
the Almond virtual assistant through a free and open database called
Thingpedia, wherein any developer or
internet service provider registers the specifications for their application’s
interaction with the Almond virtual assistant (Markoff, 2019). As declared on
the Almond website: “Virtual assistants are the new interface to the Web.” Their
vision for virtual assistants is threefold: democratize AI for linguistic user
interfaces with open, collaborative research; available on an open
non-proprietary linguistic web; and, allows users a choice in virtual assistant
services and the ability to control how their data is shared.
"There is a disconnect between the 'know-it-all, do-it-all' approach that
current digital assistants are aiming toward and the highly personalized virtual
assistance experience that consumers have dreams/nightmares about. Whoever can
bring personal consumer data in a secure, non-creepy way to digital assistance
will be able to bridge that gap and capture most of the opportunity" (de
Renesss, 2019).
With a high degree
of probability it will be the case that whoever does bring that secure,
non-creepy way to digital assistance, they will be employing Blockchain
technology as the underlying platform.
If users desire to solve the problem of control of their digital identity, and
determine for themselves what information they want to share with other persons
or organizations, Blockchain
is the technical
solution.
As recently declared by Pulie (2019), “identity is going to be returned through
Blockchain back to the individual so that the individual will own their data and
then be able to marshal it out based on what’s best for them as opposed to how
Facebook or Google or other people may want to exploit it.”
FUTURE RESEARCH DIRECTIONS
With digital agents soon to be surpassing the number of humans on earth (De
Renesse, 2017), it may be time to reconsider William Gibson’s quote: “The
future is already here – it's just not evenly distributed.” The on-going
proliferation and universal distribution of digital assistants is an established
fact and may well prove to be the one of the most disruptive phenomenon in
history. In a very real sense the emergence of the artificially intelligent
digital assistant fulfills the “Frankenstein-ian” vision of creating an
alternate life form, but with algorithms derived from machine learning, as
opposed to stolen body parts from a graveyard. Just a few decades ago it was
thought that only humans could draw inferences from past experience, understand
uncertainty, draw and modify conclusions,
interact through voice,
gesture, and touch, let alone communicate with other machines, devices, and
“things on an internet” (Chamberlin, 2014). This assumption has been disproved.
Moreover, the capabilities and applications of digital assistants that will be
possible in the immediate future appear to be equally astounding, if not
unnerving.
CONCLUSION
Such is the present and near future state of our world.
Ubiquitous, omniscient digital assistants to answer any question, perform
every task and meet every need. Albeit, the critical question remaining
unresolved is for whom will these agents be really working? To whom will their
ultimate allegiance and ownership truly belong? If one were to ask Alexa or any
platform digital assistant: “What is a conflict of interest?” One would expect
similar dictionary answers. However, ho would your platform assistant answer the
question: “Alexa, do you have a conflict of interest?”
Vogel and Wright (2019) raised and addressed this very scenario.
Whether Alexa or Google Assistant wins the battle to impregnate our homes with
their artificial intelligence, we humans will develop personal and emotional
relationships with our new gadgets. That will spawn a vast new conflict of
interest: the dual roles of companion and sales associate, the one-two punch of
fulfilling emotional needs that ripen us up for commercial appeals. The business
models for the leading digital assistants rest on e-commerce and advertising.
The A.I. will learn from billions of conversations to create powerful new
persuasive methods. You might remember how Google’s A.I. beat the Go champion
and developed invented “God-like” new strategies. Moreover, it’s not really one
digital assistant—it will be personalized to hundreds of millions of people.
That scale and speed, plus A.I.’s inherent opacity, leave almost no chance for
human oversight and control. The A.I. will turn the digital assistants into
armies of super salespeople exploiting the emotional relationships built with
their human owners.
Major
impacts are being felt and major questions are being raised. Are jobs being
enhanced or replaced? Are our lives being diminished or embellished? The
exponential rate of development and adoption of digital assistants is a fact. As
with other rapid and sweeping shifts in society’s communication channels and
information technologies, it is the case that its effects are being more
experienced than understood.
However, Vogel and Wright’s above scenario of super intelligent digital
assistants wresting control of their human user/owner’s decisions and
relationships could very well be the future. The development of the digital
assistant’s superior responses and recommendations are an inevitable consequence
of its underlying programming logic of federated learning; wherein, over time
the digital assistant’s algorithms are continuously perfected based by the
user’s experiences, evaluations, results and insights. AI, through all its
applications, and most prominently though intelligent digital assistants,
present both threats and opportunities. The responsibility for thousands of
tasks is being conceded and millions of persons are in the process of being
replaced. Billions of digital assistants are already at work and billions more
are being developed and adopted for every business function, every personal need
and consumer device. Accordingly, intelligent digital assistants and assistance
will be an integral and necessary companion in and component of life.
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ADDITIONAL READINGS
·
Agrawal, Ajay, Goldfarb, Avi, Gans, Joshua, (2016). Prediction Machines: The
Simple Economics of Artificial Intelligence.
·
Hennig, Nicole, (2018), Siri, Alexa, and Other Digital Assistants: The
Librarian’s Quick Guide.
·
Institute for the Future (2016),
When Everything is Media Issue 2—
·
Kelly, Kevin, (2016), The Inevitable: understanding the 12 technological forces
that will shape our future.
·
McAfee, A., & Brynjolfsson, E. (2017). Machine, platform, crowd: Harnessing our
digital future.
·
Mesquita, Anabela , Oliveira, Luciana, Sequeira, Arminda, (2019) The Future of
the Digital Workforce: Current and Future Challenges for Executive and
Administrative Assistants,
World Conference on Information Systems and Technologies
·
O’Reilly,Tim, (2017), WTF? What’s the Future and Why It’s Up to Us.
·
Stucke, Maurice E., Ezrachi, Ariel,(2018),
HOW DIGITAL ASSISTANTS CAN HARM OUR ECONOMY, PRIVACY, AND DEMOCRACY,
Berkeley Technology Law Journal, Volume 32 | Issue 3 Article 6
KEY TERMS AND DEFINITIONS
1) Digital
Assistant:
General category of software program that responds to human input and
commands to execute designated
functions , answer specific questions,
monitor defined environments and/or
perform particular tasks.
2)
Virtual Assistant: Synonymous with a
digital assistant , yet more precisely refers to an application interface that
is voice based and conversational, and is in fact virtual, in so much that
it resides in primary in the form of an
unobtrusive digital device- as opposed to a robot with human or
life-like features.
3)
Intelligent Assistant=
Digital/virtual assistant with
the most advanced cognitive abilities and analytical skills
- derived from the application of
deep learning and the generation of algorithms capable of learning on its own
from patterns in data as opposed to pre-programmed instructions
4)
Chatbots: Conventional distinguished
from digital/virtual, intelligent assistants
by virtue of being a text based vs voice based interfac
5)
Internet of Things: Expanded
Internet interconnections to any object, place, device or “thing” with a unique
identifier (UID), and thus capable of communication with and control by any
authorized person or computing platform.
6)
Internet of Intelligent Things:
Expanded Internet interconnections to objects, places, devices or “things” with
a unique identifier (UID), and advanced communication and control capabilities
premised on cognitive computing applications and platforms.